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Crosstab Live Morning: Florida Moves, Texas Ties

October 22, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET · 2:48 · 0 views · ❤️ 0 ▶ Watch in Crosstab LiveAll shows
Maya and Daniel, Crosstab Live. Maya and Daniel on Senate control, the Florida Senate race, the Texas Senate race and the Ohio Senate race. Nonpartisan polling analysis; every number is checked against Crosstab's data before it airs.

Transcript

Maya Good morning, and welcome to Crosstab Live Morning. Daniel, we've got a batch of new polls to get through - let's start right at the top.

Daniel Good morning, Maya. We're starting in Florida: a new co slash efficient poll has Republican Moody up 8 points over Nixon in the Senate race, 48 to 40. That same pollster has Donalds up 9 over Jolly in the Governor's race, 49 to 40.

Maya That's a real move, Daniel. How do those stack up against the averages?

Daniel Moody's average lead is now 6.3 points. Donalds now leads by 5.2 in the average, up from 4.1 before.

Maya Daniel, Texas Senate caught my eye this morning - what's the new number there?

Daniel Beacon Research has it 49 to 49, dead even in that poll. The average still gives Talarico a 1.3 point edge over Paxton - a race we're watching.

Maya What about Ohio, Daniel - both the Senate special and the Governor's race?

Daniel In the Senate special, Brown leads Husted 53 to 46, and the average is up to 3.8 points for Brown, from 3.1. In the Governor's race, Acton leads Ramaswamy 51 to 47, with a 4.4 point average lead.

Maya And Texas Governor, Daniel - any movement there?

Daniel Abbott's average lead is now 2.7 points, up from 1.8, after a new poll showing Abbott up 5 over Hinojosa, 52 to 47. Maya, turn it around on you - where do you think Senate control stands this morning?

Maya I'd guess still leaning Democratic, Daniel, but you've got the real number on the wall.

Daniel Democrats have a 65 percent chance of winning control, Republicans 35 percent. The most likely outcome right now is 52 Democratic seats.

Maya Let's close with the national numbers, Daniel - approval and the generic ballot.

Daniel Trump's approval is 36 percent approve, 59 percent disapprove. On the generic ballot, Democrats lead 52.8 to 45.5.

Maya That's Crosstab Live Morning. Join us again at noon Eastern.