Crosstab Live Tonight: Texas Tightens, Senate Picture Holds

Transcript

Maya Good evening, and welcome to Crosstab Live Tonight. We've got a fresh number out of Texas tonight, Daniel, let's get right into it.

Daniel Good to be here, Maya. CBS News and YouGov just released their Texas Senate poll: Talarico at 51 percent, Paxton at 49. That's a 2 point lead for Talarico.

Maya Two points, that's a race we're watching. How does that stack up against the running average, Daniel?

Daniel It lines up well. Our crosstab average right now has Talarico up 2.3 points in that race.

Maya That's a real number, Daniel. The same pollster had something on the Governor's race too, didn't they?

Daniel They did. CBS News and YouGov puts Abbott at 52 percent to Hinojosa's 48, a 4 point lead. Our running average there is narrower, Abbott up just 1.3 points.

Maya Two different signals in the same state. Daniel, zoom out for us, where does the Senate map stand tonight?

Daniel Right now Democrats have a 67 percent chance of winning control of the Senate, Republicans sit at 33 percent. Our most likely outcome is 52 Democratic seats.

Maya And nationally, Daniel, where's the president's approval sitting?

Daniel Trump's approval is at 37 percent, disapproval at 61.3. On the generic ballot, Democrats lead 52.8 to 45.5.

Maya What about Nevada, Daniel? You mentioned we hadn't gotten to the Governor's race there yet.

Daniel Right, Nevada Governor, Ford and Lombardo. We've got 13 polls in that race, and right now there's no leader, a race we're watching at zero points.

Maya A race we're watching indeed, Daniel.

Daniel Turn it around on you for a second, Maya. Which of these numbers are you watching heading into tomorrow's update?

Maya Honestly, Daniel, that Texas Senate race. Two points is one to watch.

Maya That's Crosstab Live Tonight. Join us again at 8 a.m. Eastern tomorrow.