Crosstab Live Midday: Iowa Moves, National Odds Hold

Transcript

Maya Good afternoon, and welcome to Crosstab Live Midday. We're 17 days out from Election Day, and we're leading today with new movement in Iowa's Senate race between Hinson and Turek.

Daniel That's right, Maya. Trafalgar Group is out with a new poll today, dated October 15th, showing Republican Hinson at 46 percent and Democrat Turek at 44 percent. That's Hinson ahead by 2 points.

Maya How does that line up with the crosstab average, Daniel?

Daniel Right now the crosstab average still has Turek ahead by half a point, a Democratic lead. So this one Trafalgar poll actually puts Hinson in front instead, a Republican lead.

Maya That's a real move on a single poll, Daniel.

Daniel It is, Maya. Let's widen out to the national picture, because the Senate control numbers are worth a look today.

Maya What's the latest on seat count and control odds?

Daniel The most likely outcome right now is 52 Democratic seats. Democrats have a 67 percent chance of winning control, Republicans sit at 33 percent.

Maya And where do approval and the generic ballot stand today?

Daniel Trump's approval is at 37 percent, with disapproval at 61.3 percent. On the generic ballot, Democrats sit at 52.8 percent, Republicans at 45.5 percent.

Maya That's a wide gap on the generic ballot, Daniel.

Daniel It is. Maya, have we put the Nevada Governor race on the wall yet today?

Maya Not yet, Daniel. Let's get into it.

Daniel Ford and Lombardo have gone through 13 polls so far, and right now there's no clear leader between them. It's a race we're watching here at the wall.

Maya That's Crosstab Live Midday. Join us again at 4 p.m. Eastern.