Crosstab Live Morning: California Surges, Senate Odds Hold

Transcript

Maya Good morning, and welcome to Crosstab Live Morning. The big story since our last update is a new ActiVote poll in California's Governor race, and Daniel, it's a sizable one.

Daniel It really is, Maya. ActiVote has Becerra at 63 percent, Hilton at 37 percent. That's a 26 point lead for Becerra, the Democrat.

Maya And the broader average, Daniel - did it move much?

Daniel It did. The crosstab average now shows Becerra up 18.4 points, that's up from 16.5 points before our last check. Almost a 2 point move.

Maya Let's shift to Florida's Senate race, Daniel - what came in there?

Daniel New ActiVote numbers put Moody at 53 percent, Nixon at 47 percent - a 6 point lead. The crosstab average there has Moody up 7.3 points.

Maya Now Connecticut's Governor race - another fresh poll, right?

Daniel Right, Maya. Wesleyan University and YouGov have Lamont at 53 percent, Fazio at 32 percent - that's 21 points for Lamont. The average there is now 17.5 points, up from 16.6.

Maya Daniel, what about Nevada's Governor race - that's our race to watch this morning?

Daniel Let me turn this one on you, Maya - any guess how many polls we've logged in Ford versus Lombardo so far?

Maya I'll go with 13.

Daniel You got it - 13 polls, and still no clear leader in the polling average there. On the bettor side, Democratic confidence moved from 53 percent to 59 percent.

Maya Before we let you go, Daniel - give us the national numbers.

Daniel Sure. Democrats have a 67 percent chance of winning Senate control, Republicans 33 percent. The most likely outcome is 52 Democratic seats. Trump's approval sits at 37 percent, disapproval at 61.3 percent. On the generic ballot, Democrats lead 52.8 to 45.5.

Maya That's Crosstab Live Morning. Join us again at noon Eastern.