Crosstab Live Tonight: New Hampshire Moves

Transcript

Maya Good evening, and welcome to Crosstab Live Tonight. We start in New Hampshire, where there's a brand new poll just in on the Senate race, Daniel.

Daniel Good evening, Maya. National Public Affairs has Pappas at 50 percent, Sununu at 45 - a 5 point lead for Pappas. Our running crosstab average now has that race at Pappas plus 6.3, down half a point from 6.8 before this update.

Maya So it's moved half a point toward Sununu since the last update. A race we're watching.

Daniel Same pollster was in the Governor's race too. Ayotte's at 54, Warmington at 38 - a 16 point lead in that single poll. Our average now has Ayotte up 10.5, that's up 1.3 points from 9.2 before this update.

Maya That's a real move, Daniel.

Daniel It is. Maya, with the Senate narrowing slightly and the Governor's race widening, which one are you keeping an eye on?

Maya I'll take the Senate race - 6.3 points is a lot closer than 10.5 points.

Daniel Let's zoom out nationally. Democrats have a 67 percent chance of winning control of the Senate, Republicans 33 percent. The most likely outcome right now is 52 Democratic seats.

Maya And where does the President stand, Daniel?

Daniel Trump's approval is at 37 percent, disapproval at 61.3. On the generic ballot, Democrats are at 52.8, Republicans at 45.5.

Maya Before we go, what's the race to watch tonight?

Daniel Nevada's Governor race, Ford versus Lombardo. Thirteen polls in, and there's no leader right now - the margin sits at zero.

Maya That's Crosstab Live Tonight. Thanks for joining us - we'll see you next time.