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Crosstab Live Afternoon: Holding Pattern

October 17, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET · 1:59 · 0 views · ❤️ 0 ▶ Watch in Crosstab LiveAll shows
Maya and Daniel, Crosstab Live. Maya and Daniel on Senate control, Trump's approval and the generic ballot and the Nevada governor race. Nonpartisan polling analysis; every number is checked against Crosstab's data before it airs.

Transcript

Maya Good afternoon, and welcome back to Crosstab Live Afternoon. Daniel, what do we have for everyone this hour?

Daniel Not much movement to report, Maya. No new polls have crossed the wall since our last live update, and the Senate numbers haven't shifted at all: Democrats hold a 67 percent chance of winning control, Republicans sit at 33 percent, and the most likely outcome right now is 52 Democratic seats.

Maya So the map's holding steady too, Daniel?

Daniel It is. No lead changes anywhere on the board, and there's nothing new in the polling average to walk through today.

Maya Let's check the national numbers, then. Where does the approval rating stand?

Daniel Trump's approval holds at 37 percent, with disapproval at 61.3 percent. On the generic ballot, Democrats sit at 52.8 percent, Republicans at 45.5 percent.

Maya That's a wide gap between approve and disapprove, Daniel.

Daniel It is. And none of those numbers have moved since we last checked in.

Maya Let's turn to a race we haven't covered yet today: the Nevada governor's contest. Where does that stand, Daniel?

Daniel There are thirteen polls in the average for that race, Maya. Right now there's no clear leader between Ford and Lombardo, and the margin in the average sits at zero points.

Daniel Maya, with a margin sitting right at zero, how do you talk about a race like that on the air?

Maya Carefully. We just call it a race we're watching, and we let every new poll speak for itself.

Maya That's Crosstab Live Afternoon. Join us again at 9 p.m. Eastern.