Steady Numbers, One Race to Watch

Transcript

Maya Good evening, and welcome to Crosstab Live Tonight. We're 18 days out, and tonight the headline is just how little has moved since our last update.

Daniel That's right, Maya. No new polls came in, no lead changes, nothing to flip on the wall tonight.

Maya So where does that leave the Senate map right now, Daniel?

Daniel Democrats sit at a 67 percent chance of winning control, Republicans at 33 percent. Most likely outcome is 52 Democratic seats.

Maya And the generic ballot? Any movement there at all?

Daniel Flat too. Democrats are at 52.8 percent, Republicans at 45.5 percent on the generic ballot.

Maya What about the President's numbers, Daniel? Those tend to shift more.

Daniel Not tonight. Trump's approval is 37 percent, disapproval 61.3 percent. Same as our last check.

Maya A quiet night across the board, then. That's a real change of pace, Daniel.

Daniel It is. So let's use the time to look at one race we haven't covered today: Nevada's Governor contest.

Maya Ford versus Lombardo. Where does that one stand?

Daniel The margin is at zero. Thirteen polls in, and neither candidate holds a lead right now.

Maya Zero points. That's worth watching closely in the weeks ahead.

Daniel Maya, what's the one number you'll be watching most between now and our next update?

Maya Probably that generic ballot gap, Daniel. Seven points is a lot to hold steady.

Maya That's Crosstab Live Tonight. Join us again at 8 a.m. Eastern tomorrow.