Crosstab Live Afternoon: Alaska Tightens, Connecticut Moves

Transcript

Maya Good afternoon, and welcome to Crosstab Live Afternoon. We've got a brand new poll out of Alaska's Senate race to start things off.

Daniel Public Policy Polling just released numbers for Alaska: Democrat Peltola at 48 percent, Republican Sullivan at 47 percent. Peltola up by one point in this poll.

Maya Daniel, how does that one point line up against the crosstab average there?

Daniel The average has Peltola up 2.3 points right now. So this new poll puts the race within 1 point — a bit closer than the average.

Maya Let's head to Connecticut's Governor race, Daniel — new numbers there too.

Daniel Wesleyan University Survey Lab and YouGov have Governor Lamont at 57 percent, Republican Fazio at 34 percent. That's a 23 point lead for Lamont in this poll.

Maya That's a real move, Daniel.

Daniel It is. The crosstab average there just went from a 15.3 point Lamont lead to 16.6 — a shift of 1.3 points.

Maya Let's zoom out for a second, Daniel. What's the national picture look like today?

Daniel Trump's approval is at 37 percent, disapproval at 61.3. On the generic ballot, Democrats sit at 52.8 percent, Republicans at 45.5.

Maya And where does that leave the fight for the Senate?

Daniel Democrats have a 67 percent chance of winning control, Republicans 33 percent. Most likely outcome right now is 52 Democratic seats. Maya, which race are you watching most closely today?

Maya Nevada's Governor race, Daniel. Thirteen polls in and still no leader between Ford and Lombardo.

Daniel That's right — a race we're watching, with no clear edge for either candidate in the data so far.

Maya That's Crosstab Live Afternoon. Join us again at 9 p.m. Eastern.