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Crosstab Live Midday: Holding Pattern

October 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET · 1:48 · 0 views · ❤️ 0 ▶ Watch in Crosstab LiveAll shows
Maya and Daniel, Crosstab Live. Maya and Daniel on Trump's approval and the generic ballot, Senate control and the Nevada governor race. Nonpartisan polling analysis; every number is checked against Crosstab's data before it airs.

Transcript

Maya Good afternoon, this is Crosstab Live Midday, back at the wall with Daniel.

Daniel Good to be with you, Maya. Since the last live update, there's nothing new to report. No new polls, no lead changes.

Maya So the picture is holding steady. Daniel, where does Senate control stand right now?

Daniel Democrats have a 67 percent chance of winning control, Republicans sit at 33 percent. The most likely outcome right now is 52 Democratic seats.

Maya That's a real split. What about the national mood, the approval numbers?

Daniel Trump's approval is at 37 percent, disapproval at 61.3 percent. On the generic ballot, Democrats are at 52.8 percent, Republicans at 45.5 percent.

Maya Let's pull up the map for a second before we get to the race you want to flag, Daniel.

Daniel There's the full Senate map, 52 Democratic seats most likely, as we just said. Now let's go to Nevada.

Maya Nevada Governor, Ford versus Lombardo. What does the data show?

Daniel Thirteen polls in, and there's no leader to call right now. The margin sits at zero, within 1 point.

Daniel Maya, when you see a margin that flat across thirteen polls, what does that tell you?

Maya It tells me this data wall is going to be busy with Nevada for a while yet, Daniel.

Daniel No argument there. We'll keep an eye on it for you.

Maya That's Crosstab Live Midday. Join us again at 4 p.m. Eastern.