Ohio Movement, Michigan Tightens

Transcript

Maya Good afternoon, and welcome to Crosstab Live Midday. We're starting with a new poll that moved the Ohio Senate race, Daniel.

Daniel That's right, Maya. The Bowling Green State University, YouGov poll has Brown at 48 percent, Husted at 42 percent, a 6-point lead for Brown.

Maya Six points in one poll is a real number. How does that compare to the running average, Daniel?

Daniel The crosstab average now has Brown up 4 points, that's up half a point from 3.5 before this poll came in.

Maya Let's stay in Ohio, because the Governor's race moved too. What's happening there, Daniel?

Daniel Same pollster, same day. Acton sits at 50 percent, Ramaswamy at 44 percent, a 6-point lead for Acton in this poll.

Maya And the running average there?

Daniel Acton's average lead is now 4.4 points, up half a point from 3.9.

Maya Two Ohio races moving the same direction on the same day. Let's head to Michigan, Daniel, there's new Senate numbers too.

Daniel The Tyson Group has El-Sayed at 44 percent, Rogers at 43 percent, within 1 point. The average there sits at El-Sayed plus 2.4. Maya, how many days do we have left until the election?

Maya We're at 19 days now, Daniel. Let's zoom out to the national map.

Daniel The data wall gives Democrats a 67 percent chance of winning control of the Senate, Republicans sit at 33 percent. The most likely outcome right now is 52 Democratic seats.

Maya And how's the President looking nationally, Daniel?

Daniel Trump's approval is at 37 percent, disapproval at 61.3 percent. On the generic ballot, Democrats lead 52.8 to 45.5.

Maya Thanks, Daniel, that's a lot of movement across two states today. That's Crosstab Live Midday. Join us again at 4 p.m. Eastern.