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Crosstab Live Tonight: Florida Shift, Nevada Standoff

October 15, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET · 2:01 · 0 views · ❤️ 0 ▶ Watch in Crosstab LiveAll shows
Maya and Daniel, Crosstab Live. Maya and Daniel on Senate control, the Florida governor race, the Nevada governor race and Trump's approval and the generic ballot. Nonpartisan polling analysis; every number is checked against Crosstab's data before it airs.

Transcript

Maya Good evening, and welcome to Crosstab Live Tonight. We've got a lot of new numbers to get through.

Maya Let's start with the headline, Daniel. Florida Governor.

Daniel Right, Maya. A new poll from Fabrizio, Lee and Associates has Donalds at 49 percent and Jolly at 43 percent. That's a 6 point lead for Donalds.

Maya That's a real move, Daniel. How does that line up with the crosstab average?

Daniel The average now has Donalds up by 5.2 points. So this new poll sits close to where the race already stood.

Maya Let's turn to a race we haven't covered today, Daniel. Nevada Governor.

Daniel Thirteen polls in on Ford versus Lombardo, and there's no leader in our average right now.

Maya No movement at all, even with that many polls?

Daniel None we can call. It's a race we're watching. What do you think stands out most about that, Maya?

Maya That even after 13 polls, neither Ford nor Lombardo has an edge.

Maya Let's go national, Daniel. Where does Senate control stand tonight?

Daniel Democrats have a 68 percent chance of winning control, Republicans 32 percent. The most likely outcome right now is 52 Democratic seats.

Maya And the national mood, Daniel? Approval and the generic ballot?

Daniel Trump's approval is at 37 percent, disapproval at 61.3 percent. On the generic ballot, Democrats lead 52.8 to 45.5.

Maya That's Crosstab Live Tonight. Thanks for joining us, and we'll see you next time.