Crosstab Live Midday: The Numbers Wall

Transcript

Maya Good afternoon, I'm Maya, and this is Crosstab Live Midday. Nothing new has crossed the wall since our last update, but the national numbers are worth a fresh look.

Daniel That's right, Maya. President Trump's approval sits at 37 percent, disapproval at 61.3 percent. On the generic ballot, Democrats lead 52.8 to 45.5.

Maya And that gap on the generic ballot, Daniel, how does it translate to the Senate map?

Daniel Right now our model gives Democrats a 69 percent chance of winning Senate control, Republicans 31 percent. The most likely outcome is 52 Democratic seats.

Maya That's a notable split, Daniel.

Daniel It is. And the map itself hasn't changed since our last update. No lead changes, no new polls to report today.

Maya Let's go to the one race we haven't touched yet today. Nevada's Governor race, Daniel.

Daniel Thirteen polls in, Maya, and there's no clear leader. Ford and Lombardo are separated by 0 points.

Maya 0 points. That's a race we're watching.

Daniel It sure is. What's your read on a margin that close, Maya?

Maya I'd just say watch the crosstabs there, Daniel, not the topline.

Daniel Fair point. We'll keep pulling that thread as more polling comes in.

Maya That's Crosstab Live Midday. Join us again at 4 p.m. Eastern.