Crosstab Live Midday: Texas Moves, Connecticut Holds

Transcript

Maya Good afternoon, and welcome to Crosstab Live Midday. We're leading with a new poll out of Texas: ActiVote has Democrat Talarico up 4 points over Paxton in the Senate race.

Daniel That's right, Maya. ActiVote has Talarico at 52 percent, Paxton at 48. Our crosstab average now puts Talarico ahead by 3.3 points.

Maya And right next door, the Governor's race in Texas has new numbers too, Daniel?

Daniel It does. Same pollster, ActiVote, has Abbott at 51, Hinojosa at 49 - a 2 point race. Our average has Abbott up just 0.9 points.

Maya Under a point. That's within 1 point, Daniel.

Daniel It is. So, Maya - of those two Texas races, which one's got your attention today?

Maya Honestly, both. But let's head to Connecticut - another new poll there.

Daniel Emerson has Lamont at 51, Fazio at 38 - a 13 point margin. Our average for that race moved from 16.3 points to 15.3, a 1 point shift.

Maya Let's zoom out. Where does the overall Senate picture stand, Daniel?

Daniel Our forecast moved from 68 to 69 percent for Democrats. Right now Democrats have a 69 percent chance of winning control, Republicans a 31 percent chance. Most likely outcome: 52 Democratic seats.

Maya And on the national numbers - approval, the generic ballot?

Daniel Trump's approval sits at 37 percent, disapproval at 61.3. On the generic ballot, Democrats are at 52.8 percent, Republicans at 45.5.

Maya One more before we go - Nevada's Governor race. We haven't covered it yet today.

Daniel 13 polls in on that one, and there's no clear leader between Ford and Lombardo right now. A race we're watching.

Maya That's Crosstab Live Midday. Join us again at 4 p.m. Eastern.