Crosstab Live Morning: New Polls in Iowa and Florida

Transcript

Maya Good morning, and welcome to Crosstab Live Morning. We've got a new poll in from Iowa's Senate race, and it's our lead this hour.

Daniel Marist has Democrat Turek at 48 percent, Republican Hinson at 45 - a 3 point lead for Turek in that single poll.

Maya And how does that line up with our running average, Daniel?

Daniel Tighter than the poll itself. Our crosstab average has Turek up just 0.7 points - within 1 point.

Maya Let's check the other Iowa race. What did Marist find in the Governor's contest?

Daniel Democrat Sand leads Republican Lahn 52 to 45 in that poll - a 7 point margin. Our running average puts Sand up 7.6 points.

Maya Down to Florida now - there's a new Senate poll out too.

Daniel MDW Communications has Republican Moody at 48, Democrat Nixon at 42 - a 6 point lead. The average has Moody up 6.9 points.

Maya And the Florida Governor's race - what's that poll show?

Daniel Republican Donalds leads Democrat Jolly 47 to 44 in that poll, 3 points. Our average has Donalds up 5.2 - down half a point from 5.7.

Maya Let's zoom out to the national picture, Daniel. Where does Senate control stand?

Daniel Democrats have a 68 percent chance of winning Senate control, Republicans 32 percent. The most likely outcome is 52 Democratic seats. Trump's approval sits at 37, disapproval 61.3. The generic ballot has Democrats up 52.8 to 45.5 - that gap is down from 8.8 points to 7.3.

Daniel Maya, what's catching your eye before we close out?

Maya Nevada's Governor race - Ford and Lombardo. Thirteen polls in, and the average margin sits at 0 points. No leader yet. It's a race we're watching.

Daniel Good one to keep tracking, Maya.

Maya That's Crosstab Live Morning. Join us again at noon Eastern.