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Crosstab Live Afternoon: Maine Tightens, Senate Odds Tick Down

October 14, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET · 1:58 · 0 views · ❤️ 0 ▶ Watch in Crosstab LiveAll shows
Maya and Daniel, Crosstab Live. Maya and Daniel on the Maine Senate race, Senate control, Trump's approval and the generic ballot and the Nevada governor race. Nonpartisan polling analysis; every number is checked against Crosstab's data before it airs.

Transcript

Maya Good afternoon, and welcome to Crosstab Live Afternoon. We've got a new poll out of Maine, and it's a notable one.

Daniel Suffolk University's new Senate poll has Jackson at 49 percent, Collins at 47. That's a two-point edge for Jackson.

Maya That's a real move, Daniel. How's that lining up with the broader crosstab average?

Daniel The crosstab average now has Jackson ahead by 1.9 points. So this new poll tracks almost exactly with where the race stands.

Maya With 20 days to go, that's a race we're watching. What's that doing to our national Senate forecast?

Daniel Our forecast ticked down for Democrats, from 69 percent to 68 percent chance of winning control. The most likely scenario has them at 52 seats.

Maya Let's go national for a second, Daniel. Where do things stand on approval and the generic ballot?

Daniel Trump's approval sits at 37 percent, disapproval at 61.3. On the generic ballot, Democrats lead 50.9 to 42.1.

Maya What's on your board that we haven't touched today, Daniel?

Daniel Nevada's Governor race, Ford versus Lombardo. Thirteen polls in, and neither candidate has a lead right now. Maya, which of these would you want me to pull back up tomorrow?

Maya I'd want Maine back on the board, Daniel. Let's keep tracking that one.

Maya That's Crosstab Live Afternoon. Join us again at 9 p.m. Eastern.