Crosstab Live Midday: Rhode Island Moves, Texas Holds Tight

Transcript

Maya Good afternoon, I'm Maya, and this is Crosstab Live Midday. We're starting with brand new numbers out of Rhode Island's Senate race.

Daniel The new Emerson poll has Democrat Jack Reed at 59 percent, Republican Kevin McKay at 25, a 34 point lead. Our running average now puts Reed up 30.2 points, up 10.2 points from 20 before.

Maya That's a real jump, Daniel. What's happening in the Governor's race there?

Daniel Same Emerson poll: Foulkes at 44 percent, Block at 35, Guckian at 10, a 9 point lead for Foulkes. Our average now has Foulkes up 11.7 points, down from 19 points before.

Maya Let's head to Texas, Daniel. How's the Senate race looking?

Daniel The University of Texas Texas Politics Project poll has Talarico at 50 percent, Paxton at 47, a 3 point race. Our average matches it exactly, 3 points.

Maya And the Governor's race there?

Daniel Same poll: Hinojosa at 49 percent, Abbott at 48, a 1 point gap. Our average actually shows Abbott up 0.8 points. Maya, out of these four, which would you call a race we're watching?

Maya I'd put Texas Governor right at the top, Daniel. Let's check the national picture.

Daniel Nationally, Democrats have a 69 percent chance of winning Senate control, Republicans 31 percent. Our most likely outcome is 52 Democratic seats.

Maya And where do approval and the generic ballot sit?

Daniel Trump's approval is 37 percent, disapproval 61.3. On the generic ballot, Democrats lead 50.9 to 42.1.

Maya Before we go, let's look at a race we haven't covered today, Daniel: Nevada's Governor race.

Daniel Right, Maya. Ford and Lombardo are within 0 points of each other across 13 polls, a race we're watching, with no leader yet in our average.

Maya That's Crosstab Live Midday. Join us again at 4 p.m. Eastern.