Crosstab Live Morning: New York Tightens, Texas Ties

Transcript

Maya Good morning, I'm Maya - this is Crosstab Live Morning. We're starting with a new poll in the New York Governor race, Daniel.

Daniel Morning, Maya. Pollfinity Research has Hochul at 47 percent and Blakeman at 44 percent - a 3 point edge for Hochul. Our crosstab average now has Hochul up 9.8 points, down from 11.5 before this update.

Maya That's a real move, Daniel. Let's head to Texas - what's new in the Senate race there?

Daniel Two new polls just in. Quantus Insights has Talarico and Paxton tied at 47 each. Marist shows Talarico up 2, 47 to 45. Our crosstab average has Talarico ahead by 2.9 points.

Maya And the Governor race in Texas - any movement there, Daniel?

Daniel Marist has Abbott leading Hinojosa 49 to 45, a 4 point edge. But our crosstab average has that race closer - Abbott up just 1.2 points.

Maya Let's zoom out, Daniel - how does the full Senate map look this morning?

Daniel Nationally, Democrats have a 69 percent chance of winning control, Republicans a 31 percent chance. The most likely outcome right now is 52 Democratic seats.

Daniel Maya, you've been tracking the generic ballot too - what's the Democratic number this week?

Maya It's 50.9 percent for Democrats, 42.1 for Republicans.

Daniel And on approval, Trump sits at 37 percent approve, 61.3 disapprove.

Maya Before we go, Daniel - anything new from Nevada's Governor race?

Daniel Not a new poll today, but it's a race we're watching - Ford and Lombardo are tied at zero margin across 13 polls so far.

Maya That's Crosstab Live Morning. Join us again at noon Eastern.