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North Carolina and Minnesota Move

October 13, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET · 2:21 · 0 views · ❤️ 0 ▶ Watch in Crosstab LiveAll shows
Maya and Daniel, Crosstab Live. Maya and Daniel on the North Carolina Senate race, the Minnesota governor race, Senate control and Trump's approval and the generic ballot. Nonpartisan polling analysis; every number is checked against Crosstab's data before it airs.

Transcript

Maya Good afternoon, I'm Maya, this is Crosstab Live Afternoon. Since our last update, we've got three new polls on the board, and the headliner is a brand new poll out of North Carolina Senate with a striking number.

Daniel Hey, Maya. SurveyUSA has Cooper at 54, Whatley at 40. That is Cooper plus 14.

Maya Daniel, how does that fit into the broader average there?

Daniel It pushes the average to Cooper plus 9.4. That is up nine tenths of a point from our last update, when it stood at plus 8.5. There was also a Change Research poll out October 7th, putting Cooper up 10 there as well.

Maya Let's move to Minnesota Governor, Daniel. What's new there?

Daniel Mason-Dixon has Klobuchar at 50, Demuth at 41. That is plus 9. The average now sits at Klobuchar plus 7.6, up eight tenths from plus 6.8.

Maya Two Democratic leads moving in the same direction today, Daniel.

Daniel Right. Zoom out to the Senate map and Democrats have a 69 percent chance of winning control. Republicans sit at 31 percent.

Maya What's the most likely seat count?

Daniel 52 seats for Democrats is the most likely number right now.

Maya And the national numbers, approval and the generic ballot?

Daniel Trump's approval is 37 percent, disapproval 61.3. On the generic ballot, Democrats are at 50.9, Republicans at 42.1.

Maya Before we go, Daniel, anything on Nevada Governor?

Daniel Nevada's Ford versus Lombardo, 13 polls in so far, and there's no clear leader right now, margin's at zero. Maya, are you keeping an eye on that one too?

Maya I sure am, Daniel. Zero margin's hard to ignore.

Maya That's Crosstab Live Afternoon. Join us again at 9 p.m. Eastern.