Crosstab Live Tonight: North Carolina Moves, Senate Map Update

Transcript

Maya Good evening, and welcome to Crosstab Live Tonight. We're 22 days out from the election, and we've got a fresh number out of North Carolina to start with tonight.

Daniel Hey Maya. Trafalgar Group just released a new North Carolina Senate poll. Democrat Cooper at 49 percent, Republican Whatley at 41 percent. That puts Cooper up 8 points in this one survey.

Maya Daniel, how does that single poll line up with the broader numbers in North Carolina?

Daniel Pretty closely, actually. The crosstab average in that race now has Cooper ahead by 8.5 points. So this Trafalgar number sits right in line with where the average already was.

Maya That's a strong number for Cooper, Daniel.

Daniel It is. Maya, want me to bring up the national Senate map while we're at it?

Maya Let's do it. Where does Senate control stand tonight?

Daniel Right now, Democrats have a 68 percent chance of winning control of the Senate. Republicans are at 32 percent. The most likely outcome on our model is 52 Democratic seats.

Maya And what about the President's numbers tonight, Daniel?

Daniel Trump's approval is at 37 percent, disapproval at 61.3 percent. On the generic ballot, Democrats lead Republicans 50.9 to 42.1.

Maya That's a wide gap on that generic ballot number, Daniel.

Daniel It is. Before we go, let's flag one more race, Maya: Nevada's Governor contest. Ford and Lombardo, with 13 polls in and no leader in the crosstab average.

Maya No leader at all there, Daniel?

Daniel None. It's a race we're watching, with the margin at zero right now between the two candidates.

Maya That's Crosstab Live Tonight. Join us again at 8 a.m. Eastern tomorrow.