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Crosstab Live Afternoon: Georgia Jumps, Senate Odds Hold

October 12, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET · 1:53 · 0 views · ❤️ 0 ▶ Watch in Crosstab LiveAll shows
Maya and Daniel, Crosstab Live. Maya and Daniel on the Georgia Senate race, Senate control, Trump's approval and the generic ballot and the Nevada governor race. Nonpartisan polling analysis; every number is checked against Crosstab's data before it airs.

Transcript

Maya Good afternoon, and welcome to Crosstab Live Afternoon. We're twenty-two days out, and there's a new number out of Georgia's Senate race we need to get to right away.

Daniel That's right, Maya. Trafalgar Group just dropped a new poll there: Ossoff at 51 percent, Collins at 43. That's an 8-point lead for Ossoff.

Maya Eight points from one pollster. How does that line up with the overall picture there, Daniel?

Daniel Our crosstab average now has Ossoff up 8.7 points in Georgia. This new poll lines up closely with that average.

Maya Good to see the numbers agree for once, Daniel.

Maya Let's zoom out. Where do things stand with Senate control nationally?

Daniel Democrats have a 68 percent chance of winning Senate control, Republicans sit at 32 percent. The most likely outcome right now is 52 Democratic seats.

Maya And the president's approval and the generic ballot, Daniel - what are we seeing there?

Daniel Trump's approval sits at 37 percent, disapproval at 61.3. On the generic ballot, Democrats lead 50.9 to 42.1 for Republicans.

Daniel Maya, any race you're keeping an eye on today?

Maya Actually, yes. Nevada's Governor race. We haven't gotten to it yet this afternoon.

Daniel It's a race we're watching, Maya. Thirteen polls in, and there's no clear leader between Ford and Lombardo right now.

Maya No leader with thirteen polls in. That's notable, Daniel.

Maya That's Crosstab Live Afternoon. Join us again at 9 p.m. Eastern.