Crosstab Live Morning: A Quiet Stretch

Transcript

Maya Good morning, and welcome to Crosstab Live Morning. We're 23 days out from the election, and the data wall is pretty calm since our last live update.

Daniel Calm is the word, Maya. No new polls, no lead changes, nothing moved on the map today. Sometimes the story is that there isn't one.

Maya Let's start with the big picture, then, Daniel. Where does Senate control stand right now?

Daniel Democrats hold a 68 percent chance of winning control, Republicans sit at 32 percent. The most likely outcome on our model is 52 Democratic seats.

Maya That's a real number, Daniel. What about the map itself, any changes there?

Daniel None to report, Maya. Every race on the board holds the same lean it had at our last update.

Maya Let's check the national numbers, then. Where's the President's approval sitting?

Daniel Trump's approval is at 37 percent, disapproval at 61.3 percent. Both numbers are unchanged from our last check.

Maya And the generic ballot, Daniel?

Daniel Democrats lead 50.9 percent to 42.1 percent for Republicans. No movement there either.

Maya Let's bring up the race we're watching this morning, Daniel: Nevada's governor contest.

Daniel Right, Maya. Ford and Lombardo are separated by zero points, with 13 polls in the average. Neither candidate currently holds the lead.

Daniel Maya, you read these crosstabs every morning. What's harder to explain on air, a race with no movement, or one within 1 point?

Maya Honestly, Daniel? The quiet mornings. It's tougher to make stillness sound interesting than a close number.

Daniel Well, you did it again today, Maya.

Maya That's Crosstab Live Morning. Join us again at noon Eastern.