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Crosstab Live Tonight: Michigan Tightens, Senate Map Holds Steady

October 11, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET · 2:23 · 0 views · ❤️ 0 ▶ Watch in Crosstab LiveAll shows
Maya and Daniel, Crosstab Live. Maya and Daniel on the Michigan Senate race, the Alaska Senate race, the Kansas Senate race and Senate control. Nonpartisan polling analysis; every number is checked against Crosstab's data before it airs.

Transcript

Maya Good evening, and welcome to Crosstab Live Tonight. We start in Michigan, where a brand new poll just dropped on that Senate race.

Daniel That's right, Maya. InsiderAdvantage has El-Sayed at 48, Rogers at 46. A 2 point race.

Maya That's a real move, Daniel. So how does that line up with the crosstab average?

Daniel The average actually narrowed a touch. It's El-Sayed up 2.9 points now, down from 3.5 before this poll.

Maya We've got two more brand new polls tonight. Let's start with Alaska.

Daniel InsiderAdvantage has Peltola at 50, Sullivan at 48. That's a 2 point lead for Peltola, and the average now stands at 2.6 points.

Maya What about Kansas?

Daniel Hamilton's up 48 to 47 over Marshall in the new poll. The average there is just 0.6 points, within 1 point.

Maya Let's zoom out. Where does that leave the fight for Senate control?

Daniel Democrats now have a 68 percent chance of winning control, down one point from 69. The most likely outcome is 52 Democratic seats.

Maya 68 percent, that's worth watching, Daniel. What about nationally, the President's approval and the generic ballot?

Daniel Trump's approval is at 37 percent, disapproval at 61.3. On the generic ballot, Democrats lead 50.9 to 42.1.

Daniel Maya, you want to take us into the one race we haven't touched tonight?

Maya Happy to, Daniel. Nevada's Governor race: Ford versus Lombardo. Thirteen polls in, and right now there's no clear leader. Margin's at zero. A race we're watching.

Daniel Thirteen polls, and with 23 days left, zero separates them.

Maya That's Crosstab Live Tonight. Join us again at 8 a.m. Eastern tomorrow.