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Crosstab Live Afternoon: Holding Pattern

October 11, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET · 1:51 · 0 views · ❤️ 0 ▶ Watch in Crosstab LiveAll shows
Maya and Daniel, Crosstab Live. Maya and Daniel on Trump's approval and the generic ballot, Senate control and the Nevada governor race. Nonpartisan polling analysis; every number is checked against Crosstab's data before it airs.

Transcript

Maya Good afternoon, and welcome to Crosstab Live Afternoon. Since our last update, the numbers haven't budged much at all.

Daniel That's right, Maya. No new polls came in since the last check, so what you're seeing is the same picture.

Maya Let's start with the big one. Where does Senate control stand right now, Daniel?

Daniel Democrats sit at a 69 percent chance of winning control, Republicans at 31 percent. The most likely outcome is 52 Democratic seats.

Maya And nationally, how's the president doing, and the generic ballot?

Daniel Trump approval is at 37 percent, disapproval at 61.3. On the generic ballot, Democrats lead 50.9 to 42.1.

Maya Those are numbers we've grown used to seeing, Daniel.

Daniel They are. The Senate map hasn't shifted color anywhere since we last put it up.

Maya Let's bring up a race we haven't covered today. Nevada's Governor race, is that still a race we're watching?

Daniel It is. Thirteen polls in, and the margin between Ford and Lombardo sits at zero. That's within 1 point, and there's no leader to report.

Maya Thirteen polls and still flat. That's a real race to keep an eye on.

Daniel Maya, which board are you keeping tabs on for the 9 p.m. show?

Maya Nevada, honestly. An overall margin of zero after thirteen polls gets my attention every time.

Daniel Can't blame you there. We'll have the wall ready whenever something moves.

Maya That's Crosstab Live Afternoon. Join us again at 9 p.m. Eastern.