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Crosstab Live Morning: Holding Pattern

October 11, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET · 1:42 · 0 views · ❤️ 0 ▶ Watch in Crosstab LiveAll shows
Maya and Daniel, Crosstab Live. Maya and Daniel on Trump's approval and the generic ballot, Senate control and the Nevada governor race. Nonpartisan polling analysis; every number is checked against Crosstab's data before it airs.

Transcript

Maya Good morning, and welcome to Crosstab Live Morning. We don't have fresh polling since the last update, but the national numbers are still worth a look.

Daniel That's right, Maya. No new surveys came in, so we're working with the same data wall as before.

Maya Let's start with the Senate. Daniel, where does control stand right now?

Daniel Democrats have a 69 percent chance of winning control. Republicans sit at 31 percent.

Maya And the most likely seat count?

Daniel Fifty-two seats for Democrats. That's the most likely outcome in the model right now.

Maya Let's put the map up, Daniel. Anything move since yesterday?

Daniel Nothing's moved. Every race on this board is holding at its last reported position.

Maya What about the president's numbers?

Daniel Trump's approval is at 37 percent, disapproval at 61.3 percent. Both unchanged.

Maya And the generic ballot?

Daniel Democrats at 50.9 percent, Republicans at 42.1 percent. No change there either.

Daniel Maya, I want to turn to one race we haven't covered yet today.

Maya Go ahead, Daniel. Nevada Governor, right?

Daniel Ford and Lombardo. Thirteen polls in, and the margin sits at 0 points. A race we're watching closely.

Maya Within a single point. We'll keep tracking that one. That's Crosstab Live Morning. Join us again at noon Eastern.