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Crosstab Live Midday: Steady Numbers, One New Race

October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET · 2:03 · 0 views · ❤️ 0 ▶ Watch in Crosstab LiveAll shows
Maya and Daniel, Crosstab Live. Maya and Daniel on Senate control, Trump's approval and the generic ballot and the Nevada governor race. Nonpartisan polling analysis; every number is checked against Crosstab's data before it airs.

Transcript

Maya Good afternoon, and welcome to Crosstab Live Midday. We're 25 days out from the election now, Daniel, so let's get right into the numbers on the board.

Daniel Good to be here, Maya. I'll tell you straight: there is nothing new since our last update. No new polls came in, and we have not seen a single lead change anywhere on the board.

Maya So the whole map is holding exactly where it was since our last update?

Daniel It is, Maya. The Senate control numbers are unchanged: Democrats have a 68 percent chance of winning control, Republicans sit at 32 percent.

Maya And the seat projection, Daniel?

Daniel Still 52 Democratic seats. That is the most likely outcome on our board right now.

Maya That is a steady number to carry into the afternoon, Daniel.

Daniel On the national side, Trump's approval is at 37 percent, with disapproval at 61.3 percent. Both numbers hold exactly where they were at our last check.

Maya And the generic ballot?

Daniel Democrats sit at 50.9 percent there, Republicans at 42.1 percent. Also unchanged across the board.

Daniel Nothing new to flag on any of that today, Maya. So let me turn it around for once: what race is catching your eye this afternoon?

Maya Nevada's Governor race, Daniel. We have not put that one on the wall yet today.

Daniel Good call. We have thirteen polls in on Ford versus Lombardo, and right now the margin sits at zero points.

Maya Zero points. That is a race we are watching closely.

Daniel It is. We will keep that one on the board as more polls come in.

Maya That's Crosstab Live Midday. Join us again at 4 p.m. Eastern.