Crosstab Live Midday: Holding Pattern

Transcript

Maya Good afternoon, and welcome to Crosstab Live Midday. Twenty-eight days out, and we've got the wall lit up for you.

Daniel Good to be here, Maya. Honest update first: nothing new has moved since our last check-in. No fresh polls, no lead changes anywhere on the board.

Maya So where do the national numbers actually sit right now, Daniel?

Daniel Trump's approval is at 38.4 percent, disapproval at 60.1. On the generic ballot, Democrats are at 50.8, Republicans at 42.1.

Maya And what does that translate to for Senate control?

Daniel Democrats have a 68 percent chance of winning control, Republicans 32 percent. Most likely outcome right now is 52 Democratic seats.

Maya That's a real number to sit with, Daniel.

Daniel It is. The map underneath it hasn't shifted, though, so let's take a look at the full picture.

Maya Let's go somewhere we haven't touched today. What about Nevada's governor race?

Daniel Ford and Lombardo, 13 polls in. Margin is zero. No leader to report there right now, Maya. A race we're watching.

Maya Thirteen polls and still dead even. That's notable on its own.

Daniel It is. Maya, which number from today sticks with you most?

Maya Honestly, that 60.1 disapproval number. It's a big gap to carry.

Daniel Fair pick. We'll keep tracking all of it for you here at the wall.

Maya That's Crosstab Live Midday. Join us again at 4 p.m. Eastern.