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Senate Control Decided, Races Still Counting

November 5, 2026 at 4:08 PM ET · 2:44 · 0 views · ❤️ 0 ▶ Watch in Crosstab LiveAll shows
Maya and Daniel, Crosstab Live. Maya and Daniel on the latest polling. Nonpartisan polling analysis; every number is checked against Crosstab's data before it airs.

Transcript

Maya Good evening, it is 4:02 Eastern and the headline this hour is Senate control. CBS News, Fox News, NBC News, ABC News and CNN all project Democrats have won control of the Senate.

Daniel The new math is 54 Democrats, 44 Republicans, with 2 seats not yet projected. Democrats needed 51, Republicans needed 50, so this one is settled even with votes still coming in elsewhere.

Maya Even with that settled, there are still tight ones on the board. Let's start in Mississippi, where the Senate race is razor thin.

Daniel Scott Colom leads Cindy Hyde-Smith 49 percent to 48.9 percent with 98 percent reporting. No network has projected that race, so it leads, nothing more.

Maya Kansas is fully in now. The Governor's race there has finished counting.

Daniel Cindy Holscher leads Ty Masterson 50.3 to 49.7 with 100 percent reporting. Again, that is a lead in the count, not a projected winner.

Maya Up in Alaska, remember these are ranked-choice contests, so every number right now is first-choice votes only.

Daniel In the Senate race, Mary Peltola leads Dan Sullivan 48.2 to 47.9 percent on first-choice votes, with 74 percent reporting.

Maya And the Alaska Governor's race is also first-choice votes at this stage.

Daniel Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins leads Bernadette Wilson 49.1 to 29.2 percent on first-choice votes, with 73 percent reporting.

Maya One more fully counted race, Guam's Governor contest.

Daniel Vicente Ada leads Therese Maria Terlaje 51.5 to 48.2 percent with 100 percent reporting. The full count is in.

Maya Let's check the polling scorecard. How did Crosstab's final polling average hold up tonight?

Daniel Mixed night for the averages. Crosstab had Abbott up 2.4 in the Texas Governor's race, Gina Hinojosa actually leads by 7.1 with 99 percent in. In Florida, Crosstab had Moody up 5.2 in the Senate race, and Ashley Moody's current lead is 2.9 at 100 percent reporting. Data ahead of politics means showing the odds, not a guarantee.

Maya Stay with us. Crosstab Live continues all night.