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Senate Control Projected, Key Races Still Counting

November 5, 2026 at 2:09 PM ET · 2:50 · 0 views · ❤️ 0 ▶ Watch in Crosstab LiveAll shows
Maya and Daniel, Crosstab Live. Maya and Daniel on the latest polling. Nonpartisan polling analysis; every number is checked against Crosstab's data before it airs.

Transcript

Maya Good afternoon, it's 2:02 PM Eastern and Crosstab Live continues as the count goes on. The biggest story standing right now: control of the Senate.

Daniel CBS News, Fox News, NBC News, ABC News and CNN all project Democrats take control of the Senate, with Democrats now at 54 seats to Republicans' 44, and two races not yet projected.

Maya That's past the 51 seats Democrats needed, while Republicans needed 50 to hold the chamber.

Daniel On the House side, CNN, CBS News, ABC News and NBC News all project Democratic control there as well.

Maya Let's go to some of the races still being counted. In Kansas, Cindy Holscher leads Ty Masterson 50.3 to 49.7 percent, with 100 percent reporting. No network has projected that race, so it remains too close to call.

Daniel In Mississippi's Senate race, Scott Colom leads Cindy Hyde-Smith 49 to 48.9 percent with 98 percent reporting. That one is also too close to call.

Maya Up in Alaska, using that state's ranked-choice system, Mary Peltola leads Dan Sullivan 48.2 to 47.9 percent in first-choice votes, with 74 percent reporting.

Daniel And in the Alaska Governor's race, also first-choice votes under ranked-choice voting, Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins leads Bernadette Wilson 49.1 to 29.2 percent with 73 percent reporting.

Maya Nationally, in the overall Senate framing, Democrats lead Republicans 52.2 to 44.5 percent with 92 percent reporting.

Daniel Let's check how Crosstab's polling averages compared with results tonight. In Texas, Crosstab's final polling average had Talarico up 3.7 points; James Talarico's actual margin came in at 9.9, with 99 percent reporting.

Maya In Florida's Senate race, Crosstab's final polling average had Moody leading by 5.2; Ashley Moody's result margin was 2.9, at 100 percent reporting.

Daniel And in Florida's Governor race, Crosstab's final polling average showed Donalds up 3.1; Byron Donalds' actual margin was 1.3, also fully reporting.

Maya Remember, Crosstab is data ahead of politics — we give you the odds, never a guarantee. Stay with us. Crosstab Live continues all night.