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Senate Control Projected, Closest Races Still on the Board

November 5, 2026 at 1:47 PM ET · 2:27 · 0 views · ❤️ 0 ▶ Watch in Crosstab LiveAll shows
Maya and Daniel, Crosstab Live. Maya and Daniel on the latest polling. Nonpartisan polling analysis; every number is checked against Crosstab's data before it airs.

Transcript

Maya It's 1:41 Eastern and the headline this hour is Senate control. CBS News, Fox News, NBC News, ABC News and CNN all project Democrats will control the Senate.

Daniel That's right, Maya. Right now Democrats sit at 54 seats, Republicans at 44, with 2 races not yet projected. Democrats needed 51 for control, Republicans needed 50.

Maya CNN, CBS, ABC and NBC have also projected Democratic control of the House. So let's get to the races still counting. Daniel, where do we start?

Daniel Kansas Governor is fully in, 100 percent reporting, but it's razor thin. Cindy Holscher leads Ty Masterson 50.3 to 49.7.

Maya Remember, Alaska uses ranked-choice voting, so these are first-choice numbers only. In the Senate race, Mary Peltola leads Dan Sullivan 48.2 to 47.9 with 74 percent reporting.

Daniel And in the Alaska Governor's race, also first-choice votes, Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins leads Bernadette Wilson 49.1 to 29.2 with 73 percent reporting.

Maya Down in Mississippi, Scott Colom leads Cindy Hyde-Smith 49 to 48.9 with 98 percent reporting. That one is too close to call.

Daniel And nationally, in the overall fight for the Senate, Democrats lead Republicans 52.2 to 44.5 with 92 percent reporting.

Maya Daniel, how did Crosstab's final polling averages hold up against these results so far?

Daniel Mixed but directionally solid. In Texas, Crosstab's final polling average had Talarico up 3.7, the result shows James Talarico ahead by 9.9 with 99 percent reporting. Florida ran the other way: Crosstab's average had Moody up 5.2, the result has Ashley Moody up just 2.9 at 100 percent reporting.

Maya Data ahead of politics, the odds, not a guarantee. Stay with us. Crosstab Live continues all night.