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Senate Control and the Night's Closest Races

November 5, 2026 at 11:57 AM ET · 1:57 · 0 views · ❤️ 0 ▶ Watch in Crosstab LiveAll shows
Maya and Daniel, Crosstab Live. Maya and Daniel on the latest polling. Nonpartisan polling analysis; every number is checked against Crosstab's data before it airs.

Transcript

Maya The biggest story this hour: Democrats have the seats to control the Senate.

Daniel That's right, Maya. The count stands at 54 for Democrats, 44 for Republicans, with 2 seats not yet projected. Democrats needed 51, Republicans needed 50.

Maya Let's go to Kansas. Cindy Holscher leads Ty Masterson 50.3 to 49.7 percent, with 100 percent reporting.

Daniel Up in Alaska, remember these are first-choice votes under ranked-choice voting. Mary Peltola leads Dan Sullivan 48.2 to 47.9 percent, with 74 percent reporting.

Maya Also in Alaska, also first-choice votes: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins leads Bernadette Wilson 49.1 to 29.2 percent, with 73 percent reporting.

Daniel Mississippi's Senate race is razor-thin. Scott Colom leads Cindy Hyde-Smith 49 to 48.9 percent, with 98 percent reporting. Too close to call.

Maya Nationally, Democrats lead Republicans in the overall Senate vote 52.2 to 44.5 percent, with 92 percent reporting.

Daniel Checking the polls against reality: in Texas, Crosstab's final polling average had Talarico up 3.7 points. The actual result shows James Talarico ahead by 9.9.

Maya And in Florida, Crosstab's final polling average had Moody up 5.2 points, while the result shows Ashley Moody's margin at just 2.9.

Daniel The data's ahead of the politics tonight, Maya. It's the odds, not a guarantee.

Maya Stay with us. Crosstab Live continues all night.