Georgia Flips, Senate Odds Climb

Transcript

Maya Welcome back to Crosstab Live. We've got a lead change right at the top of the hour, so let's get right to it, Daniel.

Daniel Big one, Maya. In the Georgia Governor race, Democrat Lance Bottoms has moved into the lead, up 0.2 points — a shift from Jackson's 1.5-point edge at the last update.

Maya A 0.2-point margin — that's a race we're watching. What do the new polls show, Daniel?

Daniel Two new surveys today. InsiderAdvantage has it tied, 49 to 49. Research Co. has Lance Bottoms up 46 to 45 — both within 1 point.

Maya Razor thin both ways. Let's widen out — how's the Senate picture looking tonight, Daniel?

Daniel Democrats now have a 75 percent chance of winning control, up from 67 percent at the last update. The most likely outcome is 53 Democratic seats.

Maya That's a real jump. Which race moved the most since we last checked in?

Daniel Michigan Senate. A new John Zogby Strategies poll has El-Sayed up 51 to 49 over Rogers. The crosstab average is now a 6-point El-Sayed lead, up from 3.2 — and the share of bettors backing Democrats there rose from 68 percent to 78 percent.

Maya That's a real move, Daniel. What about Georgia's Senate race?

Daniel Two polls there too. InsiderAdvantage has Ossoff up 53 to 46. Research Co. has Ossoff up 52 to 42. The crosstab average now stands at an 8.9-point Ossoff lead.

Maya And Maine — any movement there, Daniel?

Daniel Rasmussen has Jackson up 49 to 46 over Collins. The crosstab average is 5 points now, and bettors backing Democrats in that race moved from 61 percent to 70 percent.

Daniel Maya, you keeping count tonight? That's three lead changes and 181 new polls feeding the averages since our last update.

Maya I am, Daniel — busy board. Nationally, the generic ballot is 52 to 44 for Democrats, an 8-point edge, up from 7.3.

Maya That's Crosstab Live. We'll be back when the numbers move.